Welcome!
I am Provash Sarker, and I received my PhD in Economics from Wuhan University in 2024. I am currently a Joint Director at Bangladesh Bank (Central Bank of Bangladesh). My research examines how heterogeneity in climate change and demography, geopolitical fragmentations, and policy uncertainty influence macroeconomic dynamics and the transition to low-carbon economies.
I am seeking postdoctoral positions starting in 2026 to advance our understanding of how financial markets and demographic stages can facilitate climate adaptation while managing transition risks. I combine causal machine learning with traditional econometrics to answer these questions with policy-relevant precision. I am particularly interested in collaborative environments at the intersection of quantitative macroeconomics, monetary and financial economics, and energy and climate economics.
I am seeking postdoctoral positions starting in 2026 to advance our understanding of how financial markets and demographic stages can facilitate climate adaptation while managing transition risks. I combine causal machine learning with traditional econometrics to answer these questions with policy-relevant precision. I am particularly interested in collaborative environments at the intersection of quantitative macroeconomics, monetary and financial economics, and energy and climate economics.
Key Metrics
- Citations: 604 (Google Scholar) | 362 (Scopus) | 290 (WoS) [As of 21 March 2026]
- H-index: 10 (Google Scholar) | 7 (Scopus) | 6 (WoS)
- Programming: R | Python (basic)
Achievements and Recognitions
- MOFCOM Fellowship – 2018
- Dean's Award for Academic Performance – 2019
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Invited Contributor, Metascience Novelty Indicators Challenge (2026)
Invited by the UK Metascience Unit (UKRI) and the University of Sussex to serve as an expert evaluator in this global initiative on research novelty assessment. - RePEc Ranking – Ranked 18th among economists in Bangladesh (March 2026, Publications last 10 years)
What drives my research
My research is motivated by a fundamental tension: how can developing economies achieve sustainable growth while meeting climate commitments, weathering geopolitical shocks, and navigating demographic shifts? Coming from Bangladesh, a country on the front lines of climate change, I have witnessed firsthand how policy uncertainty and geopolitical tensions complicate this challenge.
Current research directions
→ Climate change and its nonlinear macroeconomic effects
→ Climate-energy-macro nexus under geopolitical uncertainty
→ Demography and Inflation dynamics
→ Central bank policies, climate finance, and energy transition
→ Climate change and its nonlinear macroeconomic effects
→ Climate-energy-macro nexus under geopolitical uncertainty
→ Demography and Inflation dynamics
→ Central bank policies, climate finance, and energy transition
Solo Working Papers and Projects
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Geopolitical Risk, Wartime Economic Policy Uncertainty, and Carbon Intensity [ R&R ]
→ Do wars make countries dirtier? This paper examines how geopolitical risk and wartime uncertainty shape carbon emissions across different intensity levels.
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Energy Price Shocks and Climate Concern: Evidence from Causal Forest Analysis [R&R]
→ Using causal forest analysis, this paper reveals that energy price shocks reshape climate attitudes unevenly — with divergent responses across demographic groups.
- Nonlinear Policy Interactions and Optimal Green Lending by Banks [Under Review]
→ Can banks finance the green transition fast enough? This project models lending behavior under climate policy and capital constraints.
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How Markets Respond to Biodiversity Disclosure: An Event Study with Sentiment Overlay
→ This paper provides early evidence that voluntary biodiversity disclosure commitments are value-relevant.
Latest Publications
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Tariffs and Turmoil: Energy Market Volatility Amid US-China Trade Escalation
Energy Research Letters, (2025) || ✓ Accepted
[🔗 DOI]
→ Shows how tariff escalation transmits through energy markets, with implications for green transition planning
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Quantile Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty, Economic Policy Uncertainty, and Interest Rates on REIT Returns: Evidence From the United States
Economics Notes, (2025) || ✓ Published
[🔗 DOI]
→ First study to document heterogeneous effects across the return distribution
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Inflation in Tourism Sector: New Evidence From Climate and Geopolitical Spillover Effects International Journal of Tourism Research, (2025) || ✓ Published
[🔗 DOI]
→ Reveals how climate shocks create persistent inflation in service sectors
Conference Presentations
- "The asymmetric effects of energy inflation, agri-inflation, and CPI on agricultural output: Evidence from the NARDL and SVAR models for the UK". Paper presented at the Pacific Rim Conference for Digital Technology and Green Growth, (2023, July 15–16). Tokyo, Japan.
- "The Central Bank of Bangladesh and Foreign Exchange Reserve Management". Presented at the Policy Dialogue on Financial and Economic Reforms in Bangladesh, (2024, November 16). BRAC Business School, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Editorial Experience
- Advisory Board Member, Heliyon Finance (Elsevier)
- Referee for over 30 leading journals published by Elsevier, Springer Nature, Wiley, and Taylor & Francis
- 126 verified peer reviews, including top-tier journals in Economics and Finance.
Professional Services
- Program Committee Member, European Financial Management Association (EFMA) 2025 Annual Meetings, Athens, Greece.
- Program Committee Member, International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting (ITISE 2026), Gran Canaria, Spain.